Rakow Czestochowa 3-1 Valletta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.16
Draw
12%
6.26
Away
8%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.33
No
52%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
29%
2.48
6+ Goals
11%
5.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
28%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
82%
-1.7pp
12%
Draw
13%
-0.9pp
8%
Away Win
6%
+2.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
39%
+9.3pp
52%
BTTS No
61%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Valletta EU Bookmakers 8%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-17% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
3-1
AWAY Valletta
21 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rakow Czestochowa vs Valletta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa got the better of Valletta 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rakow Czestochowa as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 21-7.

What was the final score of Rakow Czestochowa vs Valletta?

Rakow Czestochowa 3-1 Valletta in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rakow Czestochowa vs Valletta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 80%, draw 12%, Valletta 8%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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