Shelbourne 5-2 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.64
2-3 Goals
35%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
18.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 36% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+12.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 18%
-74% / -74% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.17
-100% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / +51%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
5-2
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
24 Total Shots 10
14 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Shelbourne vs Nomme JK Kalju
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Shelbourne ran out comfortable winners over Nomme JK Kalju 5-2 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23 Jul 2026. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, shots finished 24-10.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Shelbourne 5-2 Nomme JK Kalju in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 51%, draw 22%, Nomme JK Kalju 27%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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