Stjarnan 1-0 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.41
No
40%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
30%
2.51
6+ Goals
12%
5.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+5.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.0pp
40%
BTTS No
33%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 37%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+36% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
1-0
AWAY Ilves Tampere
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan edged past Ilves Tampere 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs Ilves Tampere?

Stjarnan 1-0 Ilves Tampere in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 48%, draw 22%, Ilves Tampere 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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