Valur 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
31%
+11.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.6pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +65%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
1-0
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 11
FAQ Valur vs Zrinjski Mostar
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Valur edged past Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, shots finished 6-14.

What was the final score of Valur vs Zrinjski Mostar?

Valur 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs Zrinjski Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Valur 42%, draw 22%, Zrinjski Mostar 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
23 Jul 2026
17:30 Malisheva vs Hibernian Analysis →
18:00 Alashkert vs CFR Cluj Analysis →
18:00 Liepaja vs Austria Wien Analysis →
18:30 FK Panevezys vs Tobol Analysis →
19:00 HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC Analysis →
19:00 Dila Gori vs Apollon Limassol Analysis →