Zimbru 1-1 Noah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 23 Jul 2026

Zimbru
1-1 HT 1-0
Noah
📅23/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 30% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
51%
Away Win
54%
-2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Noah EU Bookmakers 57%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.00/2.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-100% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
1-1
AWAY Noah
6 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs Noah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru and Noah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Noah at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 6-16.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs Noah?

Zimbru 1-1 Noah in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs Noah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Noah win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 26%, draw 23%, Noah 51%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Noah) ✗ BTTS No
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