Dynamo Kiev 2-3 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 23 Jul 2026

Dynamo Kiev
2-3 HT 1-2
PAOK
📅23/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
UEFA Europa League – 2026/2027

Dynamo Kiev vs PAOK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.15
6+ Goals
8%
21.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dynamo Kiev v PAOK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 37%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -22%
0.65/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.44
-52% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
14.2 Crosses 18.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.3

Dynamo Kiev 2-3 PAOK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Kiev
2-3
AWAY PAOK
1.18 xG 1.90
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 1
455 Passes 305
18 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dynamo Kiev vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK nicked a narrow win over Dynamo Kiev 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; PAOK found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.18 to 1.90.

What was the final score of Dynamo Kiev vs PAOK?

Dynamo Kiev 2-3 PAOK in the UEFA Europa League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Kiev vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Kiev 36%, draw 29%, PAOK 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dynamo Kiev), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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