Twente 1-2 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
8.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
18%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-1.9pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.9pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 21%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.38/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/2.43
-34% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
457 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
Crosses 12.1
Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
1-2
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.10 xG 1.59
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
577 Passes 223
35 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Twente vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros edged past Twente 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Twente carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.10 to 1.59.

What was the final score of Twente vs Ferencvaros?

Twente 1-2 Ferencvaros in the UEFA Europa League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Twente 59%, draw 20%, Ferencvaros 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Twente), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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