Independiente Medellin vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin 2-2 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin and Vasco da Gama shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.41 to 1.06.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Vasco da Gama?
Independiente Medellin 2-2 Vasco da Gama in the Copa Sudamericana on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 36%, draw 30%, Vasco da Gama 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.