Lanus 2-0 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 23 Jul 2026

Lanus
2-0 HT 1-0
Cienciano
📅23/07/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Copa Sudamericana – 2026

Lanus vs Cienciano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 31% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.54
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
22.65
X/1
22%
3.5
X/2
4%
18.2
X/X
10%
6.46
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
5%
17.5
2/X
4%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
72%
-4.0pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.5pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.5pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lanus v Cienciano — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.99/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.33
+57% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +2%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
16.0 Crosses 16.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Lanus 2-0 Cienciano — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
2-0
AWAY Cienciano
1.90 xG 0.12
15 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
375 Passes 291
39 Box Touches 4
22 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lanus vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus got the better of Cienciano 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lanus as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 1.90 to 0.12.

What was the final score of Lanus vs Cienciano?

Lanus 2-0 Cienciano in the Copa Sudamericana on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Lanus 68%, draw 20%, Cienciano 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lanus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lanus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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