Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.53
6+ Goals
14%
5.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-4.1pp
17%
Draw
20%
-3.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 20%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.94/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-54% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
1W-0D-0L
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
2-0
AWAY HNK Gorica
20 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk beat HNK Gorica 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 20-7.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs HNK Gorica?

Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 HNK Gorica in the Friendlies on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 60%, draw 17%, HNK Gorica 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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