Sport Kolombiya 1-3 Guairena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Cup, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.1pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Kolombiya EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Guairena EU Bookmakers 51%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.74
-100% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -71%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
214 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Kolombiya
1-3
AWAY Guairena
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sport Kolombiya vs Guairena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guairena beat Sport Kolombiya 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guairena as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 5-12.

What was the final score of Sport Kolombiya vs Guairena?

Sport Kolombiya 1-3 Guairena in the Paraguay - Cup on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Kolombiya vs Guairena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guairena win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sport Kolombiya 32%, draw 26%, Guairena 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guairena) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guairena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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