Sportivo Iteno 3-2 Deportivo Capiata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Cup, 23 Jul 2026

Sportivo Iteno
3-2 HT 1-0
Deportivo Capiata
📅23/07/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Paraguay - Cup – 2026

Sportivo Iteno vs Deportivo Capiata Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
18%
3.45
Away
55%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+5.3pp
18%
Draw
26%
-7.8pp
56%
Away Win
53%
+2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sportivo Iteno v Deportivo Capiata — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Iteno EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Capiata EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
230 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Sportivo Iteno vs Deportivo Capiata Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Iteno
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Capiata
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
26.09.2021 Sportivo Iteno Sportivo Iteno 3-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Capiata Deportivo Capiata PAR2

Sportivo Iteno 3-2 Deportivo Capiata — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Iteno
3-2
AWAY Deportivo Capiata
18 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sportivo Iteno vs Deportivo Capiata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Iteno nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Capiata 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Deportivo Capiata carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 18-11.

What was the final score of Sportivo Iteno vs Deportivo Capiata?

Sportivo Iteno 3-2 Deportivo Capiata in the Paraguay - Cup on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Iteno vs Deportivo Capiata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Capiata win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Iteno 27%, draw 18%, Deportivo Capiata 56%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Capiata), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Capiata) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PARK More Paraguay - Cup
23 Jul 2026
00:00 Sport Kolombiya vs Guairena Analysis →