Lexington 2-0 Oakland Roots — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
2.78
6+ Goals
13%
7.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+2.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lexington EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -7%
1.46/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.61
-21% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 79%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
17.3 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lexington
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Oakland Roots
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.44 xG 0.12
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
429 Passes 408
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 6
29 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2025 Lexington Lexington 2-1 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lexington
2-0
AWAY Oakland Roots
1.68 xG 1.74
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
338 Passes 512
20 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lexington vs Oakland Roots
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lexington got the better of Oakland Roots 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lexington as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.68 to 1.74.

What was the final score of Lexington vs Oakland Roots?

Lexington 2-0 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lexington vs Oakland Roots?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lexington 55%, draw 22%, Oakland Roots 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lexington) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lexington) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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