Lexington vs Oakland Roots Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lexington v Oakland Roots — Team-Based Signals
Lexington 2-1 Oakland Roots — Actual Match Statistics
Lexington squeezed past Oakland Roots 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lexington as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Lexington had 52% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 48%, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 2.44 to 0.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lexington's control.
What was the final score of Lexington vs Oakland Roots?
Lexington 2-1 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lexington vs Oakland Roots?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lexington 46%, draw 23%, Oakland Roots 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lexington), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.