Hartford Athletic 3-0 Rhode Island — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.69
4-5 Goals
15%
3.91
6+ Goals
7%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 36% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.0pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.64/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.17
-17% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
18.6 Crosses 15.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartford Athletic
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Rhode Island
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.79 xG 1.71
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
240 Passes 274
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2025 Rhode Island Rhode Island 2-2 HT 0-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLKP
19.07.2025 Rhode Island Rhode Island 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
11.08.2024 Rhode Island Rhode Island 3-0 HT 1-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
02.06.2024 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-1 HT 1-1 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartford Athletic
3-0
AWAY Rhode Island
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartford Athletic swept aside Rhode Island 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Hartford Athletic made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Hartford Athletic had 43% of the ball to Rhode Island's 57%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rhode Island led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Hartford Athletic and 1.50 for Rhode Island.

What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island?

Hartford Athletic 3-0 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 33%, draw 31%, Rhode Island 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Rhode Island), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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