Louisville City vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Louisville City v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Louisville City 0-0 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City and New Mexico United fought out a 0-0 stalemate. A game for the defenders, not the highlight reels.
This one beat our numbers. Louisville City carried 71% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, possession split 54% to 46% in Louisville City's favour, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 1.73 to 0.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Louisville City against 1.00 for New Mexico United.
Louisville City vs New Mexico United Result & Final Score
Louisville City 0 - 0 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Louisville City vs New Mexico United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 71%, draw 17%, New Mexico United 12%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.