Louisville City vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
3-1
HT 2-1
New Mexico United
USLP
Louisville City 0-0 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City and New Mexico United fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
This one beat our numbers. Louisville City carried 67% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Louisville City had 54% of the ball to New Mexico United's 46%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 1.73 to 0.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Louisville City and 1.00 for New Mexico United.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs New Mexico United?
Louisville City 0-0 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs New Mexico United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 67%, draw 18%, New Mexico United 15%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.