Detroit City 2-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.69
4-5 Goals
20%
3.88
6+ Goals
6%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 35% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Detroit City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.29/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.41
-34% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
17.8 Crosses 14.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Detroit City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.81 xG 2.12
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
296 Passes 306
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Detroit City Detroit City 1-1 HT 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
22.08.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-3 HT 1-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
07.07.2024 Detroit City Detroit City 1-1 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
14.05.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 5-1 HT 4-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
29.04.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 0-1 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
18.09.2022 Detroit City Detroit City 1-0 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Detroit City
2-0
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
0.30 xG 0.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
284 Passes 294
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Detroit City beat Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Detroit City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Detroit City had 49% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 51%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.30 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Detroit City and 1.67 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.

What was the final score of Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Detroit City 2-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Before kick-off our model rated a Detroit City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 41%, draw 26%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Detroit City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Detroit City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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