Detroit City 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.88
6+ Goals
11%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 29% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Detroit City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 42%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
0.87/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.35
-42% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
16.0 Crosses 18.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Detroit City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.70 xG 2.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
265 Passes 342
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-3 HT 1-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
07.07.2024 Detroit City Detroit City 1-1 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
14.05.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 5-1 HT 4-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
29.04.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 0-1 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
18.09.2022 Detroit City Detroit City 1-0 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
07.08.2022 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-0 HT 0-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Detroit City
1-1
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.05 xG 1.13
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
453 Passes 289
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 36
20 Crosses 34
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Detroit City and Tampa Bay Rowdies couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Detroit City had 58% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 42%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.05 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Detroit City and 1.67 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.

What was the final score of Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Detroit City 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Detroit City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Before kick-off our model rated a Detroit City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 39%, draw 27%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Detroit City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Detroit City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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