Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island Prediction — Model Probabilities
Indy Eleven v Rhode Island — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Indy Eleven 2-3 Rhode Island — Actual Match Statistics
Rhode Island shaded a tight game against Indy Eleven 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
The model refused to pick a side here (34% / 29% / 37%); Rhode Island picked one for it.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.
By the numbers, Indy Eleven had 48% of the ball to Rhode Island's 52%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.90 to 2.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rhode Island's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.50 for Rhode Island.
Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island Result & Final Score
Indy Eleven 2 - 3 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 34%, draw 29%, Rhode Island 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.