Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Indy Eleven v Rhode Island — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Indy Eleven 2-3 Rhode Island — Actual Match Statistics
Rhode Island squeezed past Indy Eleven 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Rhode Island found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Indy Eleven had 48% of the ball to Rhode Island's 52%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.90 to 2.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rhode Island's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.50 for Rhode Island.
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island?
Indy Eleven 2-3 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island?
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 38%, draw 25%, Rhode Island 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Indy Eleven) went the other way.