Louisville City vs North Carolina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v North Carolina — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs North Carolina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
North Carolina
USLP
4-1
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
2-1
HT 0-1
North Carolina
USLP
Louisville City 3-2 North Carolina — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City nicked a narrow win over North Carolina 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Louisville City had 38% of the ball to North Carolina's 62%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.61 to 0.54.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Louisville City and 1.67 for North Carolina.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs North Carolina?
Louisville City 3-2 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs North Carolina?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 53%, draw 23%, North Carolina 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.