Louisville City vs North Carolina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Louisville City v North Carolina — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs North Carolina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Louisville City 3-2 North Carolina — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City nicked a narrow win over North Carolina 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (55%) came home.
Under the surface, North Carolina saw more of the ball, 62% to 38%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.61 to 0.54.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Louisville City against 1.67 for North Carolina.
Louisville City vs North Carolina Result & Final Score
Louisville City 3 - 2 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Louisville City vs North Carolina Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 65%, draw 20%, North Carolina 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.