North Carolina vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
North Carolina v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
North Carolina vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
North Carolina
USLP
4-1
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
2-1
HT 0-1
North Carolina
USLP
2-2
HT 1-1
Louisville City
USLP
North Carolina 4-6 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City saw off North Carolina 6-4 away from home. The game was level at 3-3 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 6-4 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, North Carolina had 53% of the ball to Louisville City's 47%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.87 to 3.21.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for North Carolina and 1.50 for Louisville City.
What was the final score of North Carolina vs Louisville City?
North Carolina 4-6 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for North Carolina vs Louisville City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 36%, draw 22%, Louisville City 42%. The final score 4-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.