Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oakland Roots v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Oakland Roots
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
1-2
HT 1-0
New Mexico United
USLP
2-2
HT 1-1
Oakland Roots
USLP
1-1
HT 1-1
Oakland Roots
USLP
Oakland Roots 1-0 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
Oakland Roots nicked a narrow win over New Mexico United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was New Mexico United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Oakland Roots had 44% of the ball to New Mexico United's 56%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.79 to 0.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oakland Roots and 1.33 for New Mexico United.
What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United?
Oakland Roots 1-0 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United?
Before kick-off our model rated an New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 32%, draw 26%, New Mexico United 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.