Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Oakland Roots v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Oakland Roots 1-0 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
Oakland Roots nicked a narrow win over New Mexico United 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our pre-match lean was New Mexico United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The one blemish: both teams to score (57%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Oakland Roots had 44% of the ball to New Mexico United's 56%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.79 to 0.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oakland Roots and 1.33 for New Mexico United.
Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United Result & Final Score
Oakland Roots 1 - 0 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 32%, draw 27%, New Mexico United 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.