Rhode Island 2-0 Birmingham Legion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
8%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 25%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.81/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.47
-11% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
24.4 Crosses 14.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rhode Island
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Birmingham Legion
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 0.89
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
284 Passes 337
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.07.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-3 HT 0-1 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
2-0
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.27 xG 0.15
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
379 Passes 261
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island got the better of Birmingham Legion 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rhode Island as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rhode Island had 58% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 42%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.27 to 0.15.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?

Rhode Island 2-0 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 44%, draw 27%, Birmingham Legion 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✓ Under 2.5
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