Loudoun United vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Loudoun United v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Loudoun United vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Loudoun United 0-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Loudoun United 1-0 away from home. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our pre-match lean was Loudoun United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, possession split 52% to 48% in Loudoun United's favour, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.07 to 0.71.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Loudoun United against 3.00 for Phoenix Rising.
Loudoun United vs Phoenix Rising Result & Final Score
Loudoun United 0 - 1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Loudoun United vs Phoenix Rising Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 46%, draw 28%, Phoenix Rising 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Loudoun United), BTTS Yes went the other way.