Indy Eleven 1-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.74
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+5.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-7.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 46%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.06/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.99
-11% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
17.4 Crosses 16.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Indy Eleven
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.61 xG 1.43
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
373 Passes 307
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-2 HT 0-1 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
27.07.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-3 HT 0-2 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
30.04.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-1 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
07.08.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 0-2 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
07.07.2022 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
16.06.2021 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 0-1 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Indy Eleven
1-1
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0.88 xG 0.33
74% Ball Possession 26%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
530 Passes 132
85% Pass Accuracy 61%
24 Box Touches 14
34 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Indy Eleven and Pittsburgh Riverhounds shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Indy Eleven had 74% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 26%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.88 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.17 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Indy Eleven 1-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 35%, draw 30%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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