Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-2 Indy Eleven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.98
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.91
6+ Goals
9%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +18%
1.26/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.38
-23% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 76%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
20.3 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Indy Eleven
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.11 xG 0.56
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
285 Passes 421
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-3 HT 0-2 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
30.04.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-1 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
07.08.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 0-2 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
07.07.2022 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
16.06.2021 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 0-1 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
16.08.2020 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-0 HT 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1-2
AWAY Indy Eleven
3.00 xG 0.87
69% Ball Possession 31%
24 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
419 Passes 137
80% Pass Accuracy 56%
43 Box Touches 6
35 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Indy Eleven squeezed past Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 69% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 31%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 3.00 to 0.87 — on chances, Pittsburgh Riverhounds could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 0.83 for Indy Eleven.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-2 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 43%, draw 27%, Indy Eleven 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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