San Antonio 1-0 Memphis 901 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 28% vs market 20.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Antonio EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Memphis 901 EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +17%
1.43/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.48
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.9 Crosses 13.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Antonio
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Memphis 901
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.56 xG 1.90
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
176 Passes 313
65% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2023 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 0-4 HT 0-3 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
11.10.2021 San Antonio San Antonio 4-2 HT 1-1 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Antonio
1-0
AWAY Memphis 901
0.81 xG 1.31
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
155 Passes 334
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
7 Box Touches 33
9 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH San Antonio vs Memphis 901
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Antonio squeezed past Memphis 901 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; San Antonio found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, San Antonio had 37% of the ball to Memphis 901's 63%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.81 to 1.31 — on chances, Memphis 901 could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, San Antonio had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for San Antonio and 1.00 for Memphis 901.

What was the final score of San Antonio vs Memphis 901?

San Antonio 1-0 Memphis 901 in the USL Championship on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Memphis 901?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 39%, draw 29%, Memphis 901 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Antonio), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Antonio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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