El Paso Locomotive 1-3 Birmingham Legion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.38
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.27
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.6
6+ Goals
7%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 32% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
38%
-7.1pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.8pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.5pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 38%
-10% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.19/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.46
+10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
17.7 Crosses 15.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Paso Locomotive
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Birmingham Legion
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 0.43
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
442 Passes 300
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
21.05.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-2 HT 1-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Paso Locomotive
1-3
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.47 xG 2.15
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
490 Passes 282
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 26
27 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH El Paso Locomotive vs Birmingham Legion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham Legion got the better of El Paso Locomotive 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 34% / 35% — and on the day Birmingham Legion made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 62% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 38%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.47 to 2.15.

What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Birmingham Legion?

El Paso Locomotive 1-3 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Birmingham Legion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 31%, draw 34%, Birmingham Legion 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham Legion) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham Legion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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