Loudoun United 3-0 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 23% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+2.7pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.0pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 29%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
1.42/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.49
-23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
13.2 Crosses 14.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loudoun United
1W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Tulsa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.14 xG 1.88
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
340 Passes 444
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.06.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 3-1 HT 2-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
26.03.2023 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 3-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
28.08.2022 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 2-1 HT 1-1 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
04.07.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Loudoun United
3-0
AWAY FC Tulsa
1.26 xG 1.18
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 13
414 Passes 313
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Loudoun United vs FC Tulsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loudoun United cruised past FC Tulsa 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Loudoun United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Loudoun United had 55% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 45%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.26 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, FC Tulsa led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Loudoun United and 2.00 for FC Tulsa.

What was the final score of Loudoun United vs FC Tulsa?

Loudoun United 3-0 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 52%, draw 21%, FC Tulsa 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Loudoun United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Loudoun United) ✓ Over 2.5
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