Hartford Athletic 1-1 Rhode Island — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 25% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-17% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.6 Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartford Athletic
1-1
AWAY Rhode Island
1.01 xG 1.02
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
229 Passes 320
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartford Athletic and Rhode Island shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hartford Athletic had 43% of the ball to Rhode Island's 57%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.01 to 1.02.

What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island?

Hartford Athletic 1-1 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 32%, draw 30%, Rhode Island 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rhode Island), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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