Detroit City 1-1 Hartford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.73
6+ Goals
6%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 33% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.5pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Detroit City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.41/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.80
-29% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.7 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Detroit City
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Hartford Athletic
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.74 xG 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 Passes 387
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.08.2024 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
24.09.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 3-0 HT 2-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
15.06.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-3 HT 1-2 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
07.07.2022 Detroit City Detroit City 1-1 HT 1-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
24.04.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-2 HT 1-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Detroit City
1-1
AWAY Hartford Athletic
0.51 xG 1.73
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
300 Passes 414
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Detroit City and Hartford Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Detroit City had 44% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 56%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.51 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Detroit City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Detroit City and 0.80 for Hartford Athletic.

What was the final score of Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic?

Detroit City 1-1 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Detroit City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 40%, draw 31%, Hartford Athletic 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Detroit City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Detroit City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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