New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v Oakland Roots — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Oakland Roots
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
1-2
HT 1-0
New Mexico United
USLP
2-2
HT 1-1
Oakland Roots
USLP
1-1
HT 1-1
Oakland Roots
USLP
New Mexico United 2-1 Oakland Roots — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United squeezed past Oakland Roots 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, New Mexico United had 60% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 40%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.27 to 1.20.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Oakland Roots led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for New Mexico United and 1.40 for Oakland Roots.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots?
New Mexico United 2-1 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 47%, draw 28%, Oakland Roots 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.