San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Antonio v Las Vegas Lights — Team-Based Signals
San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
San Antonio
USLP
1-1
HT 1-1
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
2-0
HT 2-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
0-2
HT 0-1
San Antonio
USLP
1-1
HT 0-1
San Antonio
USLP
San Antonio 1-1 Las Vegas Lights — Actual Match Statistics
San Antonio and Las Vegas Lights couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had San Antonio at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, San Antonio had 28% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 72%, shots finished 3-20, expected goals 0.27 to 1.58.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Antonio had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for San Antonio and 0.67 for Las Vegas Lights.
What was the final score of San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights?
San Antonio 1-1 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 56%, draw 25%, Las Vegas Lights 19%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.