FC Tulsa 2-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
23%
3.97
6+ Goals
12%
18.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.97 — our 23% vs market 20.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.8pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
1.52/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.92
+10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
16.1 Crosses 16.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tulsa
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.92 xG 1.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
447 Passes 266
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa ABDK
01.10.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
29.03.2023 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 0-0 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
31.07.2022 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
09.04.2022 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 3-4 HT 1-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tulsa
2-2
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2.05 xG 2.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
242 Passes 323
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 35
4 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Tulsa vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tulsa and Pittsburgh Riverhounds shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Tulsa had 44% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 56%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 2.05 to 2.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for FC Tulsa and 1.60 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

FC Tulsa 2-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 30%, draw 28%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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