Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-1 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Tulsa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.67 xG 0.92
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
267 Passes 452
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
29.03.2023 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 0-0 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
31.07.2022 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
09.04.2022 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 3-4 HT 1-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0-1
AWAY FC Tulsa
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
259 Passes 427
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs FC Tulsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tulsa edged past Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 41% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 59%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.25 for FC Tulsa.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs FC Tulsa?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-1 FC Tulsa in the USA - Open Cup on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 53%, draw 26%, FC Tulsa 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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