Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sacramento Republic v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals
Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Sacramento Republic
USLP
0-1
HT 0-1
Monterey Bay
USLP
1-0
HT 1-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
1-2
HT 1-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
2-1
HT 0-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
Sacramento Republic 2-0 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics
Sacramento Republic beat Monterey Bay 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sacramento Republic as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sacramento Republic had 52% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 48%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.95 to 0.38.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sacramento Republic and 0.80 for Monterey Bay.
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay?
Sacramento Republic 2-0 Monterey Bay in the USA - Open Cup on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 57%, draw 22%, Monterey Bay 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sacramento Republic) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.