FC Dallas 1-0 Memphis 901 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
12%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.1pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.7pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Memphis 901 EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +82% / +82%
1.62/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.77/1.56
+42% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +97%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.0
16.8 Crosses 36.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
1-0
AWAY Memphis 901
1.57 xG 0.24
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 3
470 Passes 249
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Dallas vs Memphis 901
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dallas squeezed past Memphis 901 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Dallas as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Dallas had 63% of the ball to Memphis 901's 37%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.57 to 0.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Dallas's control.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Memphis 901?

FC Dallas 1-0 Memphis 901 in the USA - Open Cup on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs Memphis 901?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 54%, draw 25%, Memphis 901 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Dallas) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Dallas) ✗ BTTS Yes
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