San Jose Earthquakes vs Oakland Roots Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v Oakland Roots — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Oakland Roots — Actual Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes nicked a narrow win over Oakland Roots 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had San Jose Earthquakes as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 55% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 45%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.34 to 0.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold San Jose Earthquakes's control.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Oakland Roots?
San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Oakland Roots in the USA - Open Cup on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Oakland Roots?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 59%, draw 18%, Oakland Roots 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.