Houston Dynamo 3-3 Detroit City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
3.01
6+ Goals
14%
9.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.9pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.3pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Detroit City EU Bookmakers 17%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.4 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
3-3
AWAY Detroit City
1.82 xG 0.36
64% Ball Possession 36%
30 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 1
726 Passes 372
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
49 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Houston Dynamo vs Detroit City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo and Detroit City couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Houston Dynamo at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 64% of the ball to Detroit City's 36%, shots finished 30-9, expected goals 1.82 to 0.36.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Detroit City?

Houston Dynamo 3-3 Detroit City in the USA - Open Cup on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Detroit City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 54%, draw 24%, Detroit City 22%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Houston Dynamo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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