Orange County SC vs Loudoun United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Orange County SC v Loudoun United — Team-Based Signals
Orange County SC vs Loudoun United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Orange County SC 1-2 Loudoun United — Actual Match Statistics
Loudoun United shaded a tight game against Orange County SC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Orange County SC at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Orange County SC had 62% of the ball to Loudoun United's 38%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.28 to 0.89 — by the quality of chances, Orange County SC deserved more.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Orange County SC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Orange County SC and 1.00 for Loudoun United.
Orange County SC vs Loudoun United Result & Final Score
Orange County SC 1 - 2 Loudoun United in the USA - Open Cup on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Orange County SC vs Loudoun United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Orange County SC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 54%, draw 26%, Loudoun United 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orange County SC) went the other way.