Detroit City 1-1 Phoenix Rising — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.94
6+ Goals
8%
17.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 31% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Detroit City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
0.87/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.86
-41% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
320 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.5 Crosses 15.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Detroit City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Phoenix Rising
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
0.34 xG 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
291 Passes 449
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.09.2023 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 5-0 HT 1-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Detroit City
1-1
AWAY Phoenix Rising
0.49 xG 0.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
342 Passes 357
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Detroit City vs Phoenix Rising
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Detroit City and Phoenix Rising shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Detroit City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Detroit City had 49% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 51%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.49 to 0.66.

What was the final score of Detroit City vs Phoenix Rising?

Detroit City 1-1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Detroit City vs Phoenix Rising?

Before kick-off our model rated a Detroit City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 41%, draw 25%, Phoenix Rising 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Detroit City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Detroit City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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