Louisville City vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Louisville City
USLP
3-1
HT 1-1
Orange County SC
USLP
Louisville City 3-0 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City swept aside Orange County SC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Louisville City had 50% of the ball to Orange County SC's 50%, shots finished 28-7, expected goals 1.89 to 0.92.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Louisville City and 1.00 for Orange County SC.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Orange County SC?
Louisville City 3-0 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Orange County SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 53%, draw 23%, Orange County SC 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.