Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Birmingham Legion
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
0-2
HT 0-1
Birmingham Legion
USLP
1-1
HT 1-1
Birmingham Legion
USLP
1-1
HT 0-1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-1 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics
Birmingham Legion squeezed past Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Tampa Bay Rowdies at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 58% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 42%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 1.57 to 0.50 — on chances, Tampa Bay Rowdies could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 2.00 for Birmingham Legion.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-1 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 47%, draw 25%, Birmingham Legion 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.