Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-1 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics
Birmingham Legion shaded a tight game against Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-0 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Tampa Bay Rowdies carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 58% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 42%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 1.57 to 0.50 — on chances, Tampa Bay Rowdies could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 2.00 for Birmingham Legion.
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Result & Final Score
Tampa Bay Rowdies 0 - 1 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 61%, draw 21%, Birmingham Legion 18%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.