Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Las Vegas Lights v San Antonio — Team-Based Signals
Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
San Antonio
USLP
1-1
HT 1-1
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
2-0
HT 2-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
0-2
HT 0-1
San Antonio
USLP
1-1
HT 0-1
San Antonio
USLP
4-2
HT 3-1
San Antonio
USLP
Las Vegas Lights 1-0 San Antonio — Actual Match Statistics
Las Vegas Lights edged past San Antonio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was San Antonio at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 47% of the ball to San Antonio's 53%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.39 to 1.32 — the balance of chances actually favoured San Antonio.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Antonio led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 1.67 for San Antonio.
What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio?
Las Vegas Lights 1-0 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio?
Before kick-off our model rated an San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 31%, draw 28%, San Antonio 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Antonio), BTTS Yes went the other way.