Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Las Vegas Lights v San Antonio — Team-Based Signals
Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Las Vegas Lights 1-0 San Antonio — Actual Match Statistics
Las Vegas Lights edged past San Antonio 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was San Antonio at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The one blemish: both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Las Vegas Lights had 47% of the ball to San Antonio's 53%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.39 to 1.32 — by the quality of chances, San Antonio deserved more.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Antonio led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 1.67 for San Antonio.
Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio Result & Final Score
Las Vegas Lights 1 - 0 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 26%, draw 25%, San Antonio 48%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.