Oakland Roots 0-1 Monterey Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 32% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.4pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterey Bay EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.33/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.97
-9% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
14.1 Crosses 12.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakland Roots
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Monterey Bay
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.47 xG 0.79
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
452 Passes 275
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 2-2 HT 1-1 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
16.07.2023 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 1-3 HT 1-2 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
05.06.2022 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 0-2 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
27.03.2022 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 2-3 HT 1-1 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oakland Roots
0-1
AWAY Monterey Bay
0.39 xG 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
418 Passes 311
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterey Bay nicked a narrow win over Oakland Roots 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Monterey Bay found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Oakland Roots had 55% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 45%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.39 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Oakland Roots had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Oakland Roots and 1.50 for Monterey Bay.

What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay?

Oakland Roots 0-1 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oakland Roots win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 40%, draw 27%, Monterey Bay 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Oakland Roots) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oakland Roots) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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