Colorado Springs 0-2 Sacramento Republic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.13
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.66/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.06
+19% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
17.1 Crosses 16.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sacramento Republic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.10 xG 1.48
50% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
368 Passes 344
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-0 HT 1-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
16.04.2023 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 4-0 HT 3-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
30.10.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-1 HT 1-1 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
18.08.2022 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 3-0 HT 3-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
02.07.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 3-0 HT 2-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
18.08.2019 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 4-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
0-2
AWAY Sacramento Republic
0.89 xG 0.99
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
500 Passes 281
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Sacramento Republic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sacramento Republic got the better of Colorado Springs 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Sacramento Republic made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 62% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 38%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.89 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Colorado Springs and 2.00 for Sacramento Republic.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Sacramento Republic?

Colorado Springs 0-2 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Sacramento Republic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 38%, draw 27%, Sacramento Republic 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✗ BTTS Yes
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