New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v El Paso Locomotive — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
1-2
HT 1-1
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
1-2
HT 1-1
New Mexico United
USLP
1-1
HT 1-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
New Mexico United 3-2 El Paso Locomotive — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United squeezed past El Paso Locomotive 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, New Mexico United had 43% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 57%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.15 to 1.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for New Mexico United and 0.83 for El Paso Locomotive.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
New Mexico United 3-2 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 47%, draw 27%, El Paso Locomotive 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.