New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction — Model Probabilities
New Mexico United v El Paso Locomotive — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New Mexico United 3-2 El Paso Locomotive — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United squeezed past El Paso Locomotive 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
As we said in the preview, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 51%.
By the numbers, New Mexico United had 43% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 57%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.15 to 1.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for New Mexico United and 0.83 for El Paso Locomotive.
New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive Result & Final Score
New Mexico United 3 - 2 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 51%, draw 26%, El Paso Locomotive 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.