Birmingham Legion 1-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.46
2-3 Goals
34%
1.69
4-5 Goals
25%
4.2
6+ Goals
6%
21.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+8.6pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.2pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -9%
1.21/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.15
-30% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +15%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 81%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
15.3 Crosses 17.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham Legion
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.79 xG 1.13
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
387 Passes 351
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
29.09.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
25.08.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-3 HT 0-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
14.05.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1 HT 1-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
12.03.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-1 HT 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
24.10.2022 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 2-2 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham Legion
1-1
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0.97 xG 0.75
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
250 Passes 416
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Birmingham Legion vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham Legion and Pittsburgh Riverhounds shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Birmingham Legion had 40% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 60%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.97 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Birmingham Legion and 1.83 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Birmingham Legion 1-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 38%, draw 23%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/23/38) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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