Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 Birmingham Legion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 29 Sep 2024

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1-1 HT 1-0
Birmingham Legion
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.06
6+ Goals
10%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 30% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.70/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
-2% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
17.3 Crosses 14.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 0.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 Passes 375
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.08.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-3 HT 0-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
14.05.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1 HT 1-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
12.03.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-1 HT 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
24.10.2022 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 2-2 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
15.09.2022 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 2-1 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
08.05.2022 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1-1
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.59 xG 1.37
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
251 Passes 386
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Birmingham Legion shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 42% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 58%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.59 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.00 for Birmingham Legion.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 54%, draw 25%, Birmingham Legion 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
29 Sep 2024
02:00 Indy Eleven vs Miami FC Analysis →
02:30 Louisville City vs Memphis 901 Analysis →
03:00 Colorado Springs vs Loudoun United Analysis →
03:30 San Antonio vs Rhode Island Analysis →
05:00 Monterey Bay vs Detroit City Analysis →
05:30 Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights Analysis →