Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Pittsburgh Riverhounds v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics
Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Birmingham Legion couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 46%, coin-flips both. At 1.66 (~60%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 42% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 58%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.59 to 1.37.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.00 for Birmingham Legion.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion Result & Final Score
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1 - 1 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 64%, draw 23%, Birmingham Legion 13%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds), BTTS No went the other way.