Colorado Springs 1-1 Loudoun United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -11%
1.63/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.49
+17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
17.7 Crosses 15.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Loudoun United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.88 xG 1.71
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
228 Passes 353
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-1 HT 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
01.08.2021 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-3 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
1-1
AWAY Loudoun United
1.93 xG 2.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
357 Passes 378
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Loudoun United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs and Loudoun United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Springs at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 50% of the ball to Loudoun United's 50%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.93 to 2.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Colorado Springs and 0.50 for Loudoun United.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Loudoun United?

Colorado Springs 1-1 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Loudoun United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 50%, draw 24%, Loudoun United 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✗ Over 2.5
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